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Impact of simulated cigarette excise tax increase on its consumption in Iran

Epidemiology and Health 2020³â 42±Ç 1È£ p.54 ~ 54
Raei Behzad, Emamgholipour Sara, Takian Amirhossein, Yaseri Mehdi, Abdoli Ghahreman,
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 ( Raei Behzad ) - Tehran University of Medical Sciences School of Public Health Department of Health Management and Economics
 ( Emamgholipour Sara ) - Tehran University of Medical Sciences School of Public Health Department of Health Management and Economics
 ( Takian Amirhossein ) - Tehran University of Medical Sciences Health Equity Research Centre
 ( Yaseri Mehdi ) - Tehran University of Medical Sciences School of Public Health Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics
 ( Abdoli Ghahreman ) - University of Tehran Faculty of Economics

Abstract


OBJECTIVES: To assess the impact of a simulated tax-induced cigarette price increase on its consumption by different expenditure clusters in Iran.

METHODS: Employing consecutive cross sections for cigarette consumption, a two-part model was applied for different expenditure groups.

RESULTS: A 75% price increase in cigarettes noticeably? as is common in some countries with strong tobacco control policies?reduces current consumption in all five social classes, causing nearly 8% of current male smokers to quit or not to start.

CONCLUSIONS: Findings of the current study suggest that Iranian policy makers go through to implement tobacco taxation policies to control smoking prevalence, which in turn might lead to a reduction in national healthcare expenditures as well as enhance the global community¡¯s capacity to meet Sustainable Development Goals.

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Smoking; Cigarette; Taxes; Elasticity; Iran

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